Round of 16MenSeptember 10, 2026
Stupaczuk / Sanz v Moya / Leygue
Pre-match odds
Stupaczuk / Sanz
96%
Avg Elo 1849
Moya / Leygue
4%
Avg Elo 1581
Elo gap 268
Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 96% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stupaczuk / SanzMoya / Leygue
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 25%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 12%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
57%
76%
37%
75%
88%
37%
40%
50%
7
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
52%
67%
34%
61%
100%
32%
50%
100%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 5%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 0%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
65%
95%
41%
100%
50%
43%
33%
33%
7
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.