The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 10, 2026

Chozas / De Pascual v Galan / Chingotto

Pre-match odds

Chozas / De Pascual

2%

Avg Elo 1727

Galan / Chingotto

98%

Avg Elo 2059

Elo gap 332

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Chozas / De PascualGalan / Chingotto

42%
Points won
58%
60%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
40%
61%
1st-serve points won
72%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
6
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
61%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
39%
67%
1st-serve points won
77%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 2

44%
Points won
56%
58%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
42%
57%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.