QuarterfinalMenSeptember 11, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
96%
Avg Elo 2084
Guerrero / Leal
4%
Avg Elo 1803
Elo gap 282
Tapia / Coello delivered as 96% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 10
55%
72%
36%
70%
100%
35%
38%
75%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
57%
67%
46%
67%
0%
46%
50%
100%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
53%
76%
27%
73%
100%
25%
33%
50%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.