The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenSeptember 11, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Lebron / Augsburger

Suzanne-Lenglen01:28

Pre-match odds

Campagnolo / Gonzalez

29%

Avg Elo 1794

Lebron / Augsburger

71%

Avg Elo 1871

Elo gap 77

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 71% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezLebron / Augsburger

42%
Points won
58%
64%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
36%
61%
1st-serve points won
84%
88%
2nd-serve points won
75%
16%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
12%
0%
Break points converted
20%
5
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
57%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
43%
56%
1st-serve points won
76%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
69%
Points won on serve
89%
11%
Points won on return
31%
65%
1st-serve points won
91%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
9%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.