The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenSeptember 11, 2026

Stupaczuk / Sanz v Navarro / Di Nenno

Suzanne-Lenglen02:05

Pre-match odds

Stupaczuk / Sanz

43%

Avg Elo 1851

Navarro / Di Nenno

57%

Avg Elo 1876

Elo gap 26

Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Stupaczuk / SanzNavarro / Di Nenno

49%
Points won
51%
59%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
59%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
29%
Break points converted
71%
6
Longest run of points
5
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
80%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
20%
78%
1st-serve points won
62%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
47%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
53%
48%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
75%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
56%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
44%
57%
1st-serve points won
59%
0%
2nd-serve points won
60%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.