The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenSeptember 11, 2026

Goñi / Alonso v Galan / Chingotto

Philippe-Chatrier01:22

Pre-match odds

Goñi / Alonso

4%

Avg Elo 1774

Galan / Chingotto

96%

Avg Elo 2060

Elo gap 286

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 96% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goñi / AlonsoGalan / Chingotto

44%
Points won
56%
51%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
49%
52%
1st-serve points won
67%
43%
2nd-serve points won
71%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
100%
Break points converted
36%
6
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
57%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
62%
50%
2nd-serve points won
80%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
43%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
57%
45%
1st-serve points won
75%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.