The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenSeptember 12, 2026

Navarro / Di Nenno v Galan / Chingotto

Philippe-Chatrier01:20

Pre-match odds

Navarro / Di Nenno

13%

Avg Elo 1894

Galan / Chingotto

87%

Avg Elo 2062

Elo gap 168

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 87% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Navarro / Di NennoGalan / Chingotto

41%
Points won
59%
49%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
51%
50%
1st-serve points won
65%
40%
2nd-serve points won
71%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
40%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
8
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
58%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
42%
59%
1st-serve points won
68%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
38%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
62%
38%
1st-serve points won
61%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.