The Padel Brief

FinalMenSeptember 13, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Galan / Chingotto

Philippe-Chatrier01:58

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

56%

Avg Elo 2090

Galan / Chingotto

44%

Avg Elo 2068

Elo gap 23

Tapia / Coello delivered as 56% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloGalan / Chingotto

52%
Points won
48%
71%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
29%
70%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
78%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
40%
8
Longest run of points
5
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
73%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
27%
71%
1st-serve points won
65%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
64%
Points won on serve
81%
19%
Points won on return
36%
64%
1st-serve points won
77%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

55%
Points won
45%
74%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
26%
74%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.