Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026
Collombon / Sharifova v Lobo / Arellano
Pre-match odds
Upset84%
Avg Elo 1633
16%
Avg Elo 1490
Elo gap 143
Lobo / Arellano won with a 16% chance — about 1 in 6.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Collombon / SharifovaLobo / Arellano
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
Set 2
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.



