Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026
Nogueira / Baldi v Martinez / Lopez
Pre-match odds
Nogueira / Baldi
54%
Avg Elo 1531
Martinez / Lopez
46%
Avg Elo 1515
Elo gap 16
Martinez / Lopez won a near coin flip (46%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Nogueira / BaldiMartinez / Lopez
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 55%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 58%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 12
44%
45%
43%
45%
43%
45%
20%
50%
8
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 73%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 71%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 75%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
27%
29%
25%
25%
40%
29%
0%
0%
1
3
Set 2
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 46%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 42%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
59%
63%
54%
67%
50%
58%
0%
40%
8
5
Set 3
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 68%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 68%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
38%
32%
43%
32%
33%
41%
100%
67%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.