The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026

Lopez / Fassio v Rodriguez / Canovas

Court 601:20

Pre-match odds

Lopez / Fassio

27%

Avg Elo 1603

Rodriguez / Canovas

73%

Avg Elo 1691

Elo gap 88

Rodriguez / Canovas delivered as 73% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lopez / FassioRodriguez / Canovas

48%
Points won
52%
56%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
44%
58%
1st-serve points won
58%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
44%
6
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
52%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
48%
54%
1st-serve points won
58%
43%
2nd-serve points won
60%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
25%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

50%
Points won
50%
61%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
58%
57%
2nd-serve points won
75%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
50%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.