The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026

Peralta / Merino v Escacena / Aguilar

Court 501:05

Pre-match odds

Peralta / Merino

30%

Avg Elo 1539

Escacena / Aguilar

70%

Avg Elo 1611

Elo gap 73

Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Peralta / MerinoEscacena / Aguilar

42%
Points won
58%
48%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
52%
55%
1st-serve points won
66%
29%
2nd-serve points won
57%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
71%
17%
Break points converted
56%
5
Longest run of points
6
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
52%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
48%
59%
1st-serve points won
61%
20%
2nd-serve points won
60%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
17%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
44%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
56%
50%
1st-serve points won
75%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.