The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026

Valenzuela / Godallier v Borrero / Navarro

Philippe Chatrier01:48

Pre-match odds

Upset
Valenzuela / Godallier

79%

Avg Elo 1688

Borrero / Navarro

21%

Avg Elo 1573

Elo gap 116

Borrero / Navarro won with a 21% chance — about 1 in 5.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Valenzuela / GodallierBorrero / Navarro

47%
Points won
53%
61%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
39%
60%
1st-serve points won
65%
62%
2nd-serve points won
67%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
22%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
61%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
39%
63%
1st-serve points won
67%
56%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
33%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
61%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
39%
59%
1st-serve points won
63%
71%
2nd-serve points won
50%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
17%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.