The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026

Dominguez / Bellver v Perez / Caparros

Pre-match odds

Dominguez / Bellver

16%

Avg Elo 1472

Perez / Caparros

84%

Avg Elo 1619

Elo gap 147

Perez / Caparros delivered as 84% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dominguez / BellverPerez / Caparros

45%
Points won
55%
51%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
49%
53%
1st-serve points won
61%
42%
2nd-serve points won
64%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
58%
75%
Break points converted
56%
5
Longest run of points
8
13
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
67%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
33%
68%
1st-serve points won
50%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 2

32%
Points won
68%
35%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
65%
37%
1st-serve points won
71%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
63%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
3

Set 3

44%
Points won
56%
50%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
50%
52%
1st-serve points won
65%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.