Round of 64WomenSeptember 8, 2026
Castillon / Vano v Marchetti / Arruabarrena
Pre-match odds
Castillon / Vano
47%
Avg Elo 1550
Marchetti / Arruabarrena
53%
Avg Elo 1562
Elo gap 12
Castillon / Vano won a near coin flip (47%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Castillon / VanoMarchetti / Arruabarrena
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 26%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 11
54%
59%
49%
61%
50%
40%
74%
45%
8
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
55%
60%
50%
62%
50%
41%
67%
40%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 14%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 6
53%
57%
49%
59%
50%
39%
86%
50%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.