The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026

Las Heras / Mesa v Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

Pre-match odds

Las Heras / Mesa

13%

Avg Elo 1610

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

87%

Avg Elo 1774

Elo gap 164

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez delivered as 87% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Las Heras / MesaDal Pozzo / Rodriguez

42%
Points won
58%
59%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
41%
55%
1st-serve points won
79%
77%
2nd-serve points won
100%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
23%
100%
Break points converted
60%
6
Longest run of points
11
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
64%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
36%
55%
1st-serve points won
76%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
54%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
46%
55%
1st-serve points won
83%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.