Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026
Orsi / Llaguno v Lobo / Arellano
Pre-match odds
Orsi / Llaguno
89%
Avg Elo 1706
Lobo / Arellano
11%
Avg Elo 1522
Elo gap 184
Orsi / Llaguno delivered as 89% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Orsi / LlagunoLobo / Arellano
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 7
59%
68%
51%
72%
43%
50%
57%
71%
7
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 48%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
57%
64%
52%
67%
50%
52%
50%
75%
7
4
Set 2
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 21%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 3
62%
73%
50%
79%
33%
47%
67%
67%
6
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.