The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026

Alonso / Guinart v Polo / Gomez

Court 700:43

Pre-match odds

Alonso / Guinart

92%

Avg Elo 1779

Polo / Gomez

8%

Avg Elo 1565

Elo gap 214

Alonso / Guinart delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alonso / GuinartPolo / Gomez

71%
Points won
29%
80%
Points won on serve
35%
65%
Points won on return
20%
78%
1st-serve points won
37%
100%
2nd-serve points won
20%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
6
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

76%
Points won
24%
86%
Points won on serve
32%
68%
Points won on return
14%
83%
1st-serve points won
35%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

68%
Points won
32%
75%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
25%
73%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.