Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026
Martinez / Lopez v Sainz / Saiz
Pre-match odds
Martinez / Lopez
23%
Avg Elo 1540
Sainz / Saiz
77%
Avg Elo 1647
Elo gap 107
Sainz / Saiz delivered as 77% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Martinez / LopezSainz / Saiz
- Points won 65%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 61%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 7
35%
39%
30%
42%
20%
31%
25%
0%
4
6
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 68%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 70%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 68%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 3
32%
30%
33%
32%
0%
39%
0%
0%
2
3
Set 2
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
37%
48%
27%
53%
25%
24%
40%
0%
4
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.