The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026

Fassio / Virseda v Castello / Talavan

Court 602:46

Pre-match odds

Fassio / Virseda

36%

Avg Elo 1687

Castello / Talavan

64%

Avg Elo 1737

Elo gap 50

Fassio / Virseda won as slight underdogs (36%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Fassio / VirsedaCastello / Talavan

49%
Points won
51%
55%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
45%
57%
1st-serve points won
63%
47%
2nd-serve points won
29%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
53%
25%
Break points converted
62%
7
Longest run of points
5
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
41%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
59%
48%
1st-serve points won
68%
17%
2nd-serve points won
43%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
25%
Break points converted
75%
3
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
24%
80%
1st-serve points won
58%
0%
2nd-serve points won
30%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
70%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
18%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
55%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
45%
50%
1st-serve points won
63%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.