The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026

Rodriguez / Canovas v Rufo / Iglesias

Winner
6566
Court 402:09

Pre-match odds

Rodriguez / Canovas

40%

Avg Elo 1702

Rufo / Iglesias

60%

Avg Elo 1737

Elo gap 35

Rufo / Iglesias delivered as 60% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodriguez / CanovasRufo / Iglesias

44%
Points won
56%
56%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
44%
56%
1st-serve points won
67%
67%
2nd-serve points won
80%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
20%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
5
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
67%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
71%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

33%
Points won
67%
42%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
58%
42%
1st-serve points won
74%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
5
3
Service games
4

Set 3

45%
Points won
55%
48%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
17%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.