The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026

Borrero / Navarro v Salazar / Osoro

Pre-match odds

Borrero / Navarro

13%

Avg Elo 1599

Salazar / Osoro

87%

Avg Elo 1765

Elo gap 166

Salazar / Osoro delivered as 87% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Borrero / NavarroSalazar / Osoro

37%
Points won
63%
38%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
62%
45%
1st-serve points won
63%
11%
2nd-serve points won
67%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
89%
17%
Break points converted
71%
4
Longest run of points
10
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

34%
Points won
66%
40%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
60%
43%
1st-serve points won
67%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
10
3
Service games
4

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
36%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
64%
47%
1st-serve points won
60%
12%
2nd-serve points won
50%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
88%
20%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.