The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026

Perez / Caparros v Velasco / Eugenio

Pre-match odds

Perez / Caparros

37%

Avg Elo 1625

Velasco / Eugenio

63%

Avg Elo 1671

Elo gap 46

Velasco / Eugenio delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Perez / CaparrosVelasco / Eugenio

44%
Points won
56%
49%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
51%
48%
1st-serve points won
67%
62%
2nd-serve points won
44%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
25%
Break points converted
38%
4
Longest run of points
8
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
54%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
46%
51%
1st-serve points won
83%
75%
2nd-serve points won
38%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
45%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
55%
44%
1st-serve points won
58%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
29%
Break points converted
43%
3
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.