Round of 32WomenSeptember 9, 2026
Montes / Barrera v Castillon / Vano
Pre-match odds
Montes / Barrera
65%
Avg Elo 1626
Castillon / Vano
35%
Avg Elo 1571
Elo gap 55
Montes / Barrera delivered as 65% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montes / BarreraCastillon / Vano
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 10
54%
69%
41%
68%
71%
44%
33%
33%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 64%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
52%
65%
40%
64%
75%
41%
36%
50%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
56%
73%
42%
74%
67%
45%
29%
25%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.