The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026

Brea / Triay v Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

Winner
76
Philippe-Chatrier01:43

Pre-match odds

Brea / Triay

96%

Avg Elo 2058

Dal Pozzo / Rodriguez

4%

Avg Elo 1780

Elo gap 278

Brea / Triay delivered as 96% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Brea / TriayDal Pozzo / Rodriguez

58%
Points won
42%
62%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
38%
67%
1st-serve points won
47%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
62%
Break points converted
75%
6
Longest run of points
7
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
60%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
40%
59%
1st-serve points won
43%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
65%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
35%
76%
1st-serve points won
52%
17%
2nd-serve points won
33%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
40%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.