Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026
Orsi / Llaguno v Ortiz / Kurz
Pre-match odds
Orsi / Llaguno
86%
Avg Elo 1712
Ortiz / Kurz
14%
Avg Elo 1553
Elo gap 159
Orsi / Llaguno delivered as 86% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Orsi / LlagunoOrtiz / Kurz
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 45%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 41%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 7
60%
65%
55%
65%
67%
59%
38%
50%
5
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 37%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
62%
68%
57%
65%
100%
63%
25%
50%
5
3
Set 2
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
59%
63%
53%
65%
50%
53%
50%
50%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.