Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026
Alonso / Guinart v Sainz / Saiz
Pre-match odds
Alonso / Guinart
81%
Avg Elo 1784
Sainz / Saiz
19%
Avg Elo 1660
Elo gap 124
Alonso / Guinart delivered as 81% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Alonso / GuinartSainz / Saiz
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 40%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 39%
- 2nd-serve points won 45%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 7
63%
67%
60%
70%
40%
61%
55%
56%
7
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 29%
- Points won on serve 26%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 31%
- 2nd-serve points won 17%
- Points won returning 1st serve 24%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
71%
68%
74%
76%
0%
69%
83%
75%
7
3
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
58%
66%
50%
65%
67%
57%
20%
40%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.