Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026
Fassio / Virseda v Fernandez / Calvo
Pre-match odds
Fassio / Virseda
2%
Avg Elo 1704
Fernandez / Calvo
98%
Avg Elo 2030
Elo gap 326
Fernandez / Calvo delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Fassio / VirsedaFernandez / Calvo
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 85%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 10
45%
59%
35%
59%
60%
40%
15%
40%
9
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
49%
64%
38%
62%
71%
43%
20%
50%
9
6
Set 2
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
39%
50%
31%
53%
33%
35%
0%
0%
6
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.