Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026
Ustero / Sanchez v Rufo / Iglesias
Pre-match odds
Ustero / Sanchez
91%
Avg Elo 1959
Rufo / Iglesias
9%
Avg Elo 1757
Elo gap 202
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 91% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ustero / SanchezRufo / Iglesias
- Points won 30%
- Points won on serve 34%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 37%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 7
70%
72%
66%
74%
50%
63%
100%
100%
13
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 30%
- Points won on serve 14%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 15%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 2
- Service games 3
70%
62%
86%
65%
33%
85%
100%
100%
7
4
Set 2
- Points won 31%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 11%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 12%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
69%
89%
50%
88%
100%
47%
100%
100%
13
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.