Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026
Caldera / Goenaga v Salazar / Osoro
Pre-match odds
Caldera / Goenaga
59%
Avg Elo 1803
Salazar / Osoro
41%
Avg Elo 1772
Elo gap 32
Salazar / Osoro won as slight underdogs (41%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Caldera / GoenagaSalazar / Osoro
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 62%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 8
41%
46%
35%
44%
57%
31%
67%
33%
7
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 59%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
40%
42%
38%
41%
50%
35%
67%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
41%
50%
32%
48%
67%
27%
67%
50%
7
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.