Round of 16WomenSeptember 10, 2026
Ortega / Araujo v Velasco / Eugenio
Pre-match odds
Ortega / Araujo
80%
Avg Elo 1807
Velasco / Eugenio
20%
Avg Elo 1687
Elo gap 120
Ortega / Araujo delivered as 80% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ortega / AraujoVelasco / Eugenio
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 44%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 10
56%
65%
46%
67%
50%
44%
56%
57%
10
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
55%
63%
46%
67%
25%
43%
57%
50%
10
6
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
58%
68%
45%
67%
75%
44%
50%
67%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.