The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 11, 2026

Brea / Triay v Orsi / Llaguno

Winner
66
Philippe-Chatrier00:54

Pre-match odds

Brea / Triay

98%

Avg Elo 2060

Orsi / Llaguno

2%

Avg Elo 1720

Elo gap 340

Brea / Triay delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Brea / TriayOrsi / Llaguno

66%
Points won
34%
85%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
15%
84%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
64%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

74%
Points won
26%
80%
Points won on serve
32%
68%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
36%
100%
2nd-serve points won
20%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
89%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
11%
88%
1st-serve points won
46%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.