The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 11, 2026

Ustero / Sanchez v Salazar / Osoro

Suzanne-Lenglen01:53

Pre-match odds

Ustero / Sanchez

87%

Avg Elo 1964

Salazar / Osoro

13%

Avg Elo 1801

Elo gap 163

Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 87% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ustero / SanchezSalazar / Osoro

55%
Points won
45%
63%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
37%
60%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
46%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
54%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
42%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
7
13
Service games
13
0
Aces
1
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
67%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
33%
60%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
58%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
42%
57%
1st-serve points won
66%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 3

62%
Points won
38%
65%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
35%
64%
1st-serve points won
43%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4
0
Aces
1

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.