QuarterfinalWomenSeptember 11, 2026
Ortega / Araujo v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Upset13%
Avg Elo 1816
87%
Avg Elo 1977
Elo gap 162
Ortega / Araujo won with a 13% chance — about 1 in 7.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ortega / AraujoGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 45%
- Break points converted 45%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 64%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 6
Set 3
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 57%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.