SemifinalWomenSeptember 12, 2026
Brea / Triay v Fernandez / Calvo
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
58%
Avg Elo 2061
Fernandez / Calvo
42%
Avg Elo 2033
Elo gap 28
Fernandez / Calvo won as slight underdogs (42%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayFernandez / Calvo
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 54%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 44%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 9
44%
52%
37%
55%
25%
35%
46%
12%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
48%
55%
42%
57%
33%
40%
60%
20%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
40%
48%
30%
54%
20%
26%
38%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.