SemifinalWomenSeptember 12, 2026
Ustero / Sanchez v Ortega / Araujo
Pre-match odds
Ustero / Sanchez
82%
Avg Elo 1969
Ortega / Araujo
18%
Avg Elo 1839
Elo gap 130
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 82% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ustero / SanchezOrtega / Araujo
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 49%
- 2nd-serve points won 64%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 15
55%
60%
49%
62%
43%
51%
36%
60%
11
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
50%
59%
42%
62%
33%
43%
33%
33%
11
6
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
53%
56%
48%
58%
33%
52%
25%
67%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 40%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 42%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
65%
72%
60%
71%
100%
58%
100%
75%
7
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.