Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026
Cepero / Aliaga v Figuerola / Belmont
Pre-match odds
Cepero / Aliaga
36%
Avg Elo 1498
Figuerola / Belmont
64%
Avg Elo 1548
Elo gap 50
Figuerola / Belmont delivered as 64% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Cepero / AliagaFiguerola / Belmont
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 62%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 11%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 15
52%
64%
41%
61%
89%
42%
38%
38%
9
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 6
53%
73%
38%
69%
100%
36%
44%
0%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
57%
61%
50%
62%
50%
50%
50%
67%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
45%
50%
41%
48%
100%
46%
20%
100%
9
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.