The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026

Ayats / Sanchez v Gutierrez / Melendez

Pre-match odds

Ayats / Sanchez

63%

Avg Elo 1628

Gutierrez / Melendez

37%

Avg Elo 1583

Elo gap 45

Ayats / Sanchez delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ayats / SanchezGutierrez / Melendez

56%
Points won
44%
74%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
26%
75%
1st-serve points won
73%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
70%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
30%
69%
1st-serve points won
69%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
80%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
20%
83%
1st-serve points won
78%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.