The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco v Vives / Guy De Chamisso

Suzanne Lenglen

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

88%

Avg Elo 1635

Vives / Guy De Chamisso

12%

Avg Elo 1464

Elo gap 171

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / Dal BiancoVives / Guy De Chamisso

67%
Points won
33%
76%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
24%
77%
1st-serve points won
40%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
83%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

73%
Points won
27%
75%
Points won on serve
29%
71%
Points won on return
25%
73%
1st-serve points won
27%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
73%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
77%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
23%
80%
1st-serve points won
50%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.