The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026

Torre / Arredondo v Sager / Oria

Court 7

Pre-match odds

Torre / Arredondo

63%

Avg Elo 1492

Sager / Oria

37%

Avg Elo 1447

Elo gap 45

Torre / Arredondo delivered as 63% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Torre / ArredondoSager / Oria

51%
Points won
49%
65%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
35%
68%
1st-serve points won
64%
53%
2nd-serve points won
69%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
31%
Points won returning 2nd serve
47%
25%
Break points converted
29%
7
Longest run of points
5
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
50%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
50%
58%
1st-serve points won
71%
30%
2nd-serve points won
33%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
70%
0%
Break points converted
33%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
66%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
34%
62%
1st-serve points won
60%
83%
2nd-serve points won
100%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
33%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 3

60%
Points won
40%
87%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
13%
86%
1st-serve points won
60%
100%
2nd-serve points won
71%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.