Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026
Gonzalez / Abud v Roglan / Aragon
Pre-match odds
UpsetGonzalez / Abud
83%
Avg Elo 1642
Roglan / Aragon
17%
Avg Elo 1502
Elo gap 140
Roglan / Aragon won with a 17% chance — about 1 in 6.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gonzalez / AbudRoglan / Aragon
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 78%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 23%
- Break points converted 27%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 17
48%
64%
33%
62%
77%
34%
22%
40%
7
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 6
50%
68%
35%
68%
75%
37%
20%
33%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
48%
60%
35%
58%
67%
36%
0%
100%
7
6
Set 3
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
44%
65%
29%
60%
100%
29%
33%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.