The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026

Insa / Lamperti v Moya / Leygue

Suzanne Lenglen

Pre-match odds

Insa / Lamperti

51%

Avg Elo 1475

Moya / Leygue

49%

Avg Elo 1473

Elo gap 2

Moya / Leygue won a near coin flip (49%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Insa / LampertiMoya / Leygue

39%
Points won
61%
51%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
49%
49%
1st-serve points won
75%
62%
2nd-serve points won
71%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

37%
Points won
63%
41%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
59%
42%
1st-serve points won
75%
40%
2nd-serve points won
0%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
3

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
64%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
36%
58%
1st-serve points won
75%
100%
2nd-serve points won
83%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.