Round of 16MenSeptember 6, 2026
Naranjo / Zapata v Valdes / Benitez
Pre-match odds
UpsetNaranjo / Zapata
27%
Avg Elo 1469
Valdes / Benitez
73%
Avg Elo 1555
Elo gap 87
Naranjo / Zapata won with a 27% chance — about 1 in 4.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Naranjo / ZapataValdes / Benitez
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 16
49%
67%
29%
69%
50%
29%
29%
25%
7
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
48%
67%
28%
70%
50%
29%
25%
50%
3
6
Set 2
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
45%
60%
32%
67%
25%
29%
50%
0%
7
4
Set 3
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
52%
71%
29%
70%
100%
30%
25%
100%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.