The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenSeptember 7, 2026

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco v Torre / Arredondo

Philippe Chatrier01:34

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco

85%

Avg Elo 1642

Torre / Arredondo

15%

Avg Elo 1492

Elo gap 150

Rodrigo / Dal Bianco delivered as 85% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / Dal BiancoTorre / Arredondo

55%
Points won
45%
72%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
28%
73%
1st-serve points won
63%
62%
2nd-serve points won
30%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
70%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
38%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
4
12
Service games
12
1
Aces
0
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
73%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
27%
71%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
70%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
30%
74%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
20%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
17%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6
1
Aces
0

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.