QuarterfinalMenSeptember 7, 2026
Roglan / Aragon v Moya / Leygue
Pre-match odds
Roglan / Aragon
60%
Avg Elo 1534
Moya / Leygue
40%
Avg Elo 1500
Elo gap 34
Moya / Leygue won as slight underdogs (40%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Roglan / AragonMoya / Leygue
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 44%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 62%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 16
48%
64%
32%
67%
38%
26%
56%
22%
5
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 6
47%
63%
34%
66%
0%
24%
67%
14%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
53%
73%
32%
71%
100%
24%
57%
100%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
44%
56%
28%
63%
20%
30%
0%
0%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.