The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenSeptember 7, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Naranjo / Zapata

Court 601:33

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

88%

Avg Elo 1653

Naranjo / Zapata

12%

Avg Elo 1481

Elo gap 172

Solano / Pereyra delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraNaranjo / Zapata

53%
Points won
47%
71%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
29%
70%
1st-serve points won
66%
78%
2nd-serve points won
50%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
22%
20%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
11
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
66%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
34%
64%
1st-serve points won
57%
75%
2nd-serve points won
100%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
12%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
80%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
85%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
15%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.