The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenSeptember 6, 2026

Ntanou / Piltcher v Ortiz / Kurz

Pre-match odds

Ntanou / Piltcher

23%

Avg Elo 1417

Ortiz / Kurz

77%

Avg Elo 1522

Elo gap 105

Ortiz / Kurz delivered as 77% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ntanou / PiltcherOrtiz / Kurz

33%
Points won
67%
32%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
68%
29%
1st-serve points won
64%
60%
2nd-serve points won
80%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
71%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
33%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
10
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

20%
Points won
80%
14%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
86%
17%
1st-serve points won
71%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
83%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
1
Longest run of points
10
3
Service games
3

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
42%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
58%
35%
1st-serve points won
58%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
60%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.