Round of 16WomenSeptember 6, 2026
Varo / Koek v Stellato / Sussarello
Pre-match odds
Varo / Koek
37%
Avg Elo 1460
Stellato / Sussarello
63%
Avg Elo 1507
Elo gap 48
Stellato / Sussarello delivered as 63% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Varo / KoekStellato / Sussarello
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 12
48%
61%
36%
60%
67%
35%
40%
18%
5
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 3
61%
68%
50%
68%
67%
46%
67%
50%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
44%
62%
30%
62%
0%
33%
0%
0%
4
4
Set 3
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
43%
52%
34%
50%
67%
32%
50%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.