Round of 16WomenSeptember 6, 2026
Gibson / Guimet v Las Heras / Mesa
Pre-match odds
Gibson / Guimet
29%
Avg Elo 1493
Las Heras / Mesa
71%
Avg Elo 1569
Elo gap 77
Las Heras / Mesa delivered as 71% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gibson / GuimetLas Heras / Mesa
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 55%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 8
41%
44%
37%
45%
40%
38%
33%
100%
6
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 3
36%
43%
25%
44%
33%
21%
50%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 70%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
45%
45%
44%
46%
43%
53%
30%
100%
6
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.