The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenSeptember 6, 2026

Dubins / Ramme v Rose / Lopez

Court 6

Pre-match odds

Dubins / Ramme

59%

Avg Elo 1571

Rose / Lopez

41%

Avg Elo 1540

Elo gap 31

Dubins / Ramme delivered as 59% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dubins / RammeRose / Lopez

61%
Points won
39%
66%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
34%
65%
1st-serve points won
41%
71%
2nd-serve points won
62%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
50%
Break points converted
50%
11
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
75%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
25%
71%
1st-serve points won
37%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
59%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
44%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
43%
Break points converted
50%
8
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.